For years, picking a carrier has been one of the least exciting parts of owning an iPhone. Most people end up choosing between Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile, compare whichever promotion looks best that week, then hope coverage is good enough where they live.
The phone keeps getting better every year, but the experience of paying for service has changed far less. SpaceX now says it wants to change that.
During the company’s first earnings call since going public, SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell outlined plans to build a full mobile service using wireless spectrum the company acquired from EchoStar last year.
Instead of relying entirely on traditional cell towers, the idea is to combine a large network of lower-cost ground stations with Starlink satellites to create a new kind of wireless carrier.
That immediately got Wall Street’s attention. Shares of Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile all slipped after the announcement, even though SpaceX is still years away from launching its next-generation Starlink Mobile satellites.
If you use an iPhone, the appeal is easy to understand.
Carrier frustration has become almost universal. Bills keep creeping higher, dead zones still exist in places that should have been solved years ago, and switching providers rarely feels like a meaningful upgrade.
Most of the time you’re choosing the company with the fewest compromises instead of the one you actually want.
A credible new competitor changes the conversation before it signs up its first customer.
That doesn’t mean SpaceX is about to replace the big three. Analysts have already pointed out the biggest obstacle.
The company owns just 65 MHz of spectrum, a tiny slice compared with the massive holdings controlled by Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile. Without additional spectrum or agreements with existing carriers, building a nationwide service will be difficult.
Ironically, SpaceX already works with one of the companies it hopes to compete against. T-Mobile’s satellite messaging feature runs on Starlink today, showing how closely the satellite and wireless industries are already connected.
Apple users have watched satellite connectivity slowly become part of the iPhone experience through features like Emergency SOS, but those tools were designed for rare situations when traditional service disappears.
SpaceX is describing something much bigger. The goal is for satellite connectivity to become part of everyday mobile service rather than a backup plan you hope you never need.
Whether that vision becomes reality is still an open question. For iPhone owners who have spent years cycling through the same three carriers, the possibility of another serious option may be the most interesting part of the announcement.